There's little chance grocery price inflation will ease off in the short term, according to an index measuring costs of supplying supermarkets
Cost increases from grocery suppliers to the Foodstuffs co-operatives continued to accelerate last month, as the largest number of items in five years increased in cost.
The Infometrics-Foodstuffs New Zealand Grocery Supplier Cost Index showed a 10 per cent a year rise in October.
Produce, butchery, and seafood supplier costs were up by more than 10 per cent over the last year, with frozen foods close behind at 9.8 percent a year, according the index.
Higher prices are charged by suppliers to the supermarkets for about 9000 items in October, nearly five times more than in the same month in 2019, before the pandemic.
Not only are more products re-costed, but the increases are bigger, says Infometrics principal economist Brad Olsen.
Some 10 per cent of all of the items re-costed in October are for increases of more than 20 per cent.
Latest StatsNZ data showed the food price index - prices paid by consumers - went up 8.3 per cent in the year to September.
"There are intense inflationary pressures at the moment but they are broad-based ... it's across a whole range of areas," says Olsen.
"It's challenging to see at the moment any signs of improvement."
Growers and manufacturers are facing rapid cost rises for inputs and New Zealand is in its highest inflation environment in 32 years.
Those inflationary pressures would be hard to dislodge, he says.
Global food prices have stabilised, but at a high level, while in New Zealand fuel and wage costs remain high, and domestically-based inflation was running at a record 6.6 per cent in the last quarter.
"That is continuing to drive a very broad-based level of inflation across the economy."
More volatile produce and meat prices were likely to stay high, says Olsen, but general grocery items like tinned goods and dairy may stablise after rising about nine per cent over the last year.
Olsen is not holding out hope that things will materially improve in the short term.
"Looking into 2023 there are expectations that things soften back but also we're not expecting that anyone's food bill becomes cheaper any time soon."
The Infometrics-Foodstuffs New Zealand Grocery Supplier Cost Index measures the change in the cost of grocery goods charged by suppliers to the Foodstuffs North Island and South Island cooperatives.
It uses Foodstuffs NZ data across over 60,000 products the company buys. Foodstuffs NZ has the New World, Pak'nSave and Four Square brands.



6 comments
Of course not
Posted on 07-11-2022 20:25 | By Kancho
We import a lot of food and ingredients of food so costs of transportation to New Zealand and around the country costs more. And of course wage increases for the everyone involved are passed on . Even the New Zealand food producers have increased fuel, wages etc and bank rates even government levies all to be passed on . For Local produce we pay the market prices of countries we export to. So a bit of seasonal foods will move a bit but otherwise don't hold ya breath.
Propaganda
Posted on 07-11-2022 20:45 | By Slim Shady
So just after Foodstuffs open their consumer subsidised ‘community supermarket’ they start telling us that they have to keep ripping us off the rest of us because their costs are still rising. Their profits are still rising too. They’ve been squeezing suppliers for years. Stop the spoon feeding propaganda and fake virtue signalling with ‘community supermarkets’ and stop ripping me off.
Hmmm
Posted on 07-11-2022 21:47 | By Let's get real
Nothing to do with the emphasis on the "living wage" that has been pushed by the left. Nothing to do with lifting the minimum wage and all the associated benefits for the indigent population. Nothing to do with closing the boarders to migrant workers, causing suppliers to increase wages to poach workers from competitors. Nothing to do with government policy whatsoever. IT'S EXCESSIVE PROFITS (whatever the heck that means).
Support the small retailers
Posted on 08-11-2022 07:08 | By Johnney
I visited a fruit and vegetable retailer in Gate Pa the other day and surprised just how much cheaper their produce was compared to the supermarket I visited the day before. I think small businesses have a social conscience whereas corporate are only interested in their shareholders return.
Support the small retailers
Posted on 08-11-2022 07:08 | By Johnney
I visited a fruit and vegetable retailer in Gate Pa the other day and surprised just how much cheaper their produce was compared to the supermarket I visited the day before. I think small businesses have a social conscience whereas corporate are only interested in their shareholders return.
Why am I not surprised at this?
Posted on 08-11-2022 13:31 | By morepork
There is always a reason for price increases. The FACT is that if suppliers and producers had a will to do it, prices could be stabilized and there would still be a fair profit for the industry. Government should be supporting suppliers and capping retail profits, but they are getting their cut so they won't. The overall "profit pool" for groceries and essential foodstuffs should be allocated to growers and retailers based on Government set limits. They should remove GST on it for a start.
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