Winston, Willis at odds over potential budget hole

Winston Peters described the economy as "broken" during Sunday's address. Photo: RNZ / Angus Dreaver.

New Zealand First leader Winston Peters has signalled he will not compromise on the roll-out of his election commitments, despite warning the government is short billions of dollars.

Meanwhile, Finance Minister Nicola Willis denies the $5.6 billion shortfall, but says she won't guarantee promised tax cuts will arrive in July until the policy has been discussed by Cabinet.

During his state of the nation speech in Palmerston North on Sunday, Peters confirmed reports the government is short $5.6 billion to pay for all of its campaign commitments.

"The growth rate is not what we thought it was. That's the real difference," Peters later told journalists.

The government has been managing expectations, flagging economic growth is expected to be significantly slower than expected over the next few years.

During his address, Peters described the economy as "broken".

Peters was asked if the coalition government could afford National's promised tax cuts, if it is short $5.6b.

He seemed to suggest the policy will be implemented - but exactly how is still to be decided.

"I admit that there is a construction of the economic plan going forward where all these things can be done, but not the plan I've heard just yet.

"However, we are in coalition talks all the time, to see what the construction pathway forward might be."

The suggestion of a $5.6b hole raises questions about how the government will fund its promises.

Already coalition partners have been forced to compromise on one policy because of cost.

Already one coalition partner has had to agree to scale back the roll-out of one of their policies because it was too expensive.

Last week the government confirmed interest deductibility would be reinstated, but not backdated - as promised in National's coalition agreement with ACT.

When asked if the coalition can afford all of its commitments, Peters replied "our ones, yes."

Peters making it clear he will not compromise on the roll-out of his party's policies.

This will no doubt please his supporters, but will likely frustrate New Zealand First's coalition partners who may be forced to compromise on their own commitments instead.

Forecasts having 'multi-billion dollar impact on the books' - Willis

Minister of Finance Nicola Willis says she cannot confirm the government will be able to deliver tax cuts in July as outlined in the coalition agreement.

Willis told Morning Report the government still intended to roll out its tax cuts in July, but that was subject to Cabinet discussions, so she could not give a cast-iron guarantee it would happen.

"We have three Budgets to deliver on our commitments. We will not deliver on every single commitment in our first Budget."

Willis rejected claims the government was facing a $5.6 billion fiscal hole.

"What we said was that our plan overall was cautious and conservative, it had multiple elements to it and we acknowledged that there would be some overs and unders."

She admitted some of its plans to raise money, such as the gambling tax, were under-delivering.

But she said other revenue streams, such as cost cuts had over-delivered.

"Taken together, the savings and the revenue measures mean that we can afford to deliver tax reductions."

Minister of Finance Nicola Willis says the coalition government will not be able to deliver on 'every single commitment' in its first Budget. Photo: RNZ / Angus Dreaver.

The economic forecasts for New Zealand were much worse than they were when the government was elected, Willis said, and that was having a "multi-billion dollar impact on the books going forward".

Yes for tax cuts with 'right strategy'

Peters told Morning Report he had been pointing out for a year the country had a large fiscal hole so it was "no surprise" to him to have it confirmed.

"The economy was in far worse shape than people were prepared to concede. Sadly, that was the election outcome and our job is to turn it around and fix it up."

The country could still afford tax cuts, he said.

"As long as it sets out to realise what New Zealand's potential is we can do that, and do it rapidly. We can turn the whole result around and over the next 10 years make New Zealand a seriously successful country."

The country would need to increase the value of its exports and attract skilled labour and investment from overseas, Peters said.

-Katie Scotcher/RNZ.

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3 comments

Hmmm

Posted on 18-03-2024 22:42 | By Let's get real

Pretty much an unlikeable personality, who makes some very valid points if you can wade through the bluster and self promotion.
Much like David Seymour.


@ Let's Get Real

Posted on 19-03-2024 12:40 | By morepork

I smiled at your post :-) Winston is definitely a controversial character but I don't find him "unlikeable". I met him once at a petrol station and we had a chat. I liked him. He also did a huge amount for pensioners and Tauranga, which was quickly forgotten. Whether you love or hate him personally, it is usually worth listening to what he has to say. David Seymour I have no opinion about, but I do support most of the stated ACT policies. In full disclosure I should admit that I was probably the only person in England who liked Margaret Thatcher throughout her 10 years; I thought she was amazing. I guess it is just me :-)...


No Surprise...

Posted on 19-03-2024 12:53 | By OG-2024

Reading this story I fail to see how anybody will be surprised by the coalition NOT being able to meet it's election promises! In over half a century not one government has successfully been able to do so. Given the coalitions propensity to look out for their business friends and interests whatever the current level of debt it is guaranteed to grow. Instead of increasing exports - of food that would feed our population and raw materials that could be processed by our population and then exported.... Vote of no confidence.


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