Lava is now visible on the surface of Whakaari/White Island, but the likelihood of an eruption there has not increased, GNS Science says.
GNS Science says magma that it expected was just beneath the floor of the crater has now risen to the surface.
"It remains very unlikely (1 percent chance) that there will be another eruption in any 24-hour period during the next four weeks," duty volcanologist Craig Miller says.
The alert level is still at level 2, and the volcano remains in an elevated state of unrest.
"Although very unlikely, an explosive eruption from the active vent area remains possible and could occur with no precursory activity.
"This style of eruption could be driven by the collapse of unstable material behind the vents, or by a marked decrease in gas emissions allowing water from the reforming crater lake or geothermal system to enter the active hot gas vents.
"Apart from minor ash emissions on December 23rd and 26th, no significantly sustained or strong eruptive activity has been observed since the December 9th eruption."
2 comments
So if there is no problem
Posted on 22-01-2020 21:53 | By The Caveman
With White Island, the GNS Science mob will be having the February holiday there !!
Level 2
Posted on 23-01-2020 14:36 | By SonnyJim
The island remains in a dangerous state @The Caveman. Poisonous gas continues to be emitted at elevated levels and in this report says "an explosive eruption from the active vent area remains possible and could occur with no precursory activity". In plain language, an explosion could occur at any moment. Nothing in this report hints at a decline in activity to "no problem" level. This volcano is NZ's most active and has always been the most dangerous to visit.
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